Asked by Jacek Buczko on May 10, 2024

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Tom Wilson is the operations manager for BiCorp, a real estate investment firm. Tom must decide if BiCorp is to invest in a strip mall in a northeast metropolitan area. If the shopping center is highly successful, after tax profits will be $100,000 per year. Moderate success would yield an annual profit of $50,000, while the project will lose $10,000 per year if it is unsuccessful. Past experience suggests that there is a 40% chance that the project will be highly successful, a 40% chance of moderate success, and a 20% probability that the project will be unsuccessful.
a. Calculate the expected value and standard deviation of profit.
b. The project requires an $800,000 investment. If BiCorp has an 8% opportunity cost on invested funds of similar riskiness, should the project be undertaken?

Opportunity Cost

The cost of foregoing the next best alternative when making a decision.

After Tax Profits

The net income a company retains after all its tax obligations have been settled.

  • Develop the ability to evaluate expected values and grasp their critical role in influencing economic choices.
  • Comprehend the idea of variance and standard deviation as indicators of risk.
  • Employ probabilistic approaches in analyzing real-world economic scenarios.
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DEEPIGA K 18MBR011May 13, 2024
Final Answer :
a.Expected Value a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. = a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. 100,000 .4 40,000
50,000 .4 20,000
-10,000 .2 -2,000
_____________ a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. = 58,000
Standard deviation
σ = a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. Pi
100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000
50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000
-10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000 a.Expected Value   =             100,000 .4 40,000 50,000 .4 20,000 -10,000 .2 -2,000 <sup>_____________</sup>   = 58,000 Standard deviation σ =           P<sub>i</sub> 100,000 42,000 1,764,000,000 705,600,000 50,000 -8,000 64,000,000 25,600,000 -10,000 -68,000 4,624,000,000 924,800,000   = 1,656,000,000 σ = 40,693.98 b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or 0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000. The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project. = 1,656,000,000
σ = 40,693.98
b.Bio-Corp's opportunity cost is 8% of 800,000 or
0.08 × 800,000 = 64,000.
The expected value of the project is less than the opportunity cost. Bi-Corp should not undertake the project.