Asked by Jaylin Garcia on May 08, 2024

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In 1936,pollsters at the Literary Digest were guilty of ________ when they mistakenly predicted
A presidential victory for Alf Landon over Franklin Roosevelt by polling people whose names
Came from the telephone book and automobile registration records.

A) probability sampling
B) random dialing
C) selection bias
D) push polling

Selection Bias

A distortion of statistical analysis results caused by the method of collecting samples that is not representative of the entire population being studied.

Literary Digest

A general interest magazine in the United States that published from 1890 to 1938, known for its failed prediction of the 1936 presidential election.

Probability Sampling

A method of sampling that utilizes random selection procedures to ensure every member of a population has an equal chance of being included in the sample.

  • Understand methods and challenges in public opinion polling, including effects like social desirability.
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DW
Dijion WallsMay 08, 2024
Final Answer :
C
Explanation :
The error made by the Literary Digest's pollsters is an example of selection bias. They only polled individuals whose names were on telephone and automobile registration records, which resulted in an unrepresentative sample of the population. This highlights the importance of using probability sampling methods to ensure that the sample accurately reflects the population of interest. Random dialing and push polling are not relevant to this particular situation.